W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
5 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Leipzig 2:0 Heidenheim (Matchday 23). —. No chance in Leipzig. Heidenheim without attacking ideas — 6 games without a win. Relegation is becoming more and more likely.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Leipzig 2:0 Heidenheim — Match Statistics:
38.6%
Possession FCH
1 : 7
Shots on Target
5 : 17
Total Shots
1 : 8
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Resignation among the fans. 6 games without a win, bottom of the table. But Schmidt genießt weiter Vertrauen — Werder becomes a must-win.
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 3-6-14, 15 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: L L D L L. Torbilanz: 18:44. Heimtabelle Platz 17. — away position 18..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
No activity. Schmidt works with the existing squad — budget exhausted.
Table
Fixed
07:30
18th (relegation spot!) — 5 points behind Relegation. Werder away as an absolute 6-point game. Last chance to keep in touch.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Heidenheim AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 18.
Werder HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (8 games): Heidenheim 2S 3U 3N, Goals 10:12. First Half: Heidenheim 1:1 Werder (Matchday 11, 07.12.2025).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
07.12.25Heidenheim 1:1 WerderU
18.05.25Werder 2:0 HeidenheimN
09.12.24Heidenheim 0:1 WerderN
30.03.24Werder 1:2 HeidenheimS
21.10.23Heidenheim 2:2 WerderU
Last 5: Heidenheim 1S 2U 2N · 0× in 3 Spielen auswärts bei Werder
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
0
Eigene Goals in Leipzig
6
Spiele ohne Win
18:44
Schlechteste Torbilanz der Liga
0.65
Punkte/Spiel
Heidenheim all competitions 25/26: 4S 7U 15N, 22:50 Goals (26 games). Schlechteste Offensive und Defensive der Liga.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Werder vs Heidenheim (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Werder
1.80
52.8%
Unentsch.
3.60
26.4%
Heidenheim
4.50
21.1%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Werder vs Heidenheim:
| Quelle | Werder | Unentsch. | Heidenheim | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 54¢ | 25¢ | 23¢ | $2.9K |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: THIN — Polymarket-Volumen $2.9K. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Heidenheim Relegation: Polymarket 68¢ YES. Clear relegation candidate No. 1.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
—
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). —.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
2 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 2 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
—
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). —.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 3 · 5 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 4 Fixed (80%) · 1 Variable (20%) · 0 Signal
Last Match · Matchday 23
Leipzig — Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · Red Bull Arena · 47.069
⚽ —
Next Match · Matchday 24
THIN
Werder
16. · 20 Pts
4-8-11
vs
Heidenheim
18. · 15 Pts
3-6-14
🏟 Weserstadion
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Werder
54¢
Unentsch.
25¢
Heidenheim
23¢
Volume: $2.9K
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Heidenheim | Werder | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 18. | 16. |
| Punkte | 15 | 20 |
| Bilanz | 3-6-14 | 4-8-11 |
| Goals | 18:44 | 22:40 |
| Form (5) | NNUNN | NUNNS |
| Ohne Win | 6 Spiele Spiele | — |
| Home/Away | A: 18. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 1.80 | 4.50 |
| Wahrsch. | 52.8% | 21.1% |
| Liquidität | THIN $2.9K Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Gimber muscle injury Thigh
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Frank Schmidt
"Wir dürfen den Kopf nicht in den Sand stecken. In Werder müssen wir alles reinhauen."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Heidenheimer Zeitung
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen